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Trump Administration's Iran Policy Causes Global Political Uncertainty
Trump's 'Iran Pressure' Creates Confusion
Ian Bremmer, President of Eurasia Group, stated that U.S. President Donald Trump is attempting to gain political leverage through pressure on Iran, but his unpredictable actions are exacerbating global political risk. Bremmer explained that despite significant progress in peace talks between the U.S. and Iran following Trump's withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal, Trump characterized the talks as a failure and announced a blockade, aiming to demonstrate military pressure on Iran. However, such inconsistent behavior is causing confusion among allies, and ultimately, Trump's threats will lose credibility.
Impact of 'U.S. Political Revolution' on Global Order
Bremmer identified the U.S. political revolution led by President Trump as the top risk in the Top Risks 2026 report. He argued that Trump is attempting to dismantle checks on his power, capture the machinery of government, and weaponize it against his enemies. These domestic political changes in the United States are undermining the global order, causing allies like Europe to distance themselves from U.S. policies. Trump's intervention in the Middle East, in particular, is seen as stemming from his overconfidence, which is a major factor contributing to global political instability.
Japan's Role and Future Global Order
Bremmer warned that Trump's actions could ultimately benefit China in the long term. As the U.S. withdraws from international organizations and weakens its alliances, China is stepping in to fill the void. He emphasized that Japan should play a greater role in global governance, including the World Health Organization (WHO) and ocean summits. With the United States no longer perceived as a reliable ally, nations like Japan must actively work to maintain the stability of the international order. Bremmer predicts that economically, a multipolar order will increasingly emerge, while militarily, a unipolar order centered on the U.S. will persist, and in technology, a technopolar order where companies act as sovereigns will intensify.
*Source: YouTube: NHK World-Japan (2026-04-15)*
